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Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report

Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report

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Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report
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Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report
Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report
Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report
Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report
housingwire housingwire | 1 year ago
On the same day, the BLS revealed that we've recovered all the jobs lost to COVID-19 and I am raising my sixth recession red flag. The post Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report appeared first on HousingWire.
On the same day, the BLS revealed that we've recovered all the jobs lost to COVID-19 and I am raising my sixth recession red flag. The post Sixth recession red flag raised, despite strong jobs report appeared first on HousingWire.
Amazon news raises new recession red flag
Amazon news raises new recession red flag
Amazon news raises new recession red flag
Amazon news raises new recession red flag
housingwire housingwire | 1 year ago
Two significant things happened Friday: the BLS reported that the U.S. created 428,000 jobs in April, and I had to raise another recession red flag. Here's the scoop on both. The post Amazon news raises new recession red flag appeared first on HousingWire.
Two significant things happened Friday: the BLS reported that the U.S. created 428,000 jobs in April, and I had to raise another recession red flag. Here's the scoop on both. The post Amazon news raises new recession red flag appeared first on HousingWire.
Housing starts data raises 5th recession red flag
Housing starts data raises 5th recession red flag
Housing starts data raises 5th recession red flag
Housing starts data raises 5th recession red flag
housingwire housingwire | 1 year ago
Considering housing starts, Wednesday's builder confidence index and mortgage rates over 6%, it’s time to raise the fifth recession red flag.Despite good revisions, housing starts fell short of expectations. 1.549 million building starts and 1.695 million construction permits were recorded.The number of completed homes increased to 1.465 million, and more unfinished homes are now complete. The fifth recession warning flag should now be raised, however, in light of Wednesday's builder confidenc...
Considering housing starts, Wednesday's builder confidence index and mortgage rates over 6%, it’s time to raise the fifth recession red flag.Despite good revisions, housing starts fell short of expectations. 1.549 million building starts and 1.695 million construction permits were recorded.The number of completed homes increased to 1.465 million, and more unfinished homes are now complete. The fifth recession warning flag should now be raised, however, in light of Wednesday's builder confidenc...
Jobs Report Strong Enough to Hurt
Jobs Report Strong Enough to Hurt
Jobs Report Strong Enough to Hurt
Jobs Report Strong Enough to Hurt
News & media website News & media website | 1 year ago
Jobs are great for people who like eat food and buy things, but too many jobs are bad for people who like low rates.  And when the labor market is being closely watched by the Fed as a cue to consider a policy shift, too many jobs are also bad for stocks.  While it's debatable that a job count of 263k (vs 250k forecast) qualifies as "too many," it's more than enough to hurt both sides of the market. In fact, the quintessential "Fed accommodation trade" has been the broader theme for most of 20...
Jobs are great for people who like eat food and buy things, but too many jobs are bad for people who like low rates.  And when the labor market is being closely watched by the Fed as a cue to consider a policy shift, too many jobs are also bad for stocks.  While it's debatable that a job count of 263k (vs 250k forecast) qualifies as "too many," it's more than enough to hurt both sides of the market. In fact, the quintessential "Fed accommodation trade" has been the broader theme for most of 20...
Jobs Report Not Strong Enough To Keep Sellers Selling
Jobs Report Not Strong Enough To Keep Sellers Selling
Jobs Report Not Strong Enough To Keep Sellers Selling
Jobs Report Not Strong Enough To Keep Sellers Selling
News & media website News & media website | 1 year ago
For weeks on end, it's been "sell first and ask questions later" for the bond market.  Any econ data that's been at least halfway decent has been at risk of prompting additional selling.  Last month's jobs report was particularly problematic and that placed extra emphasis on today's report.  While it was modestly stronger than expected at the headline level, wages declined sharply and unemployment ticked up as more workers entered the workforce.  Bonds could have taken this report either way...
For weeks on end, it's been "sell first and ask questions later" for the bond market.  Any econ data that's been at least halfway decent has been at risk of prompting additional selling.  Last month's jobs report was particularly problematic and that placed extra emphasis on today's report.  While it was modestly stronger than expected at the headline level, wages declined sharply and unemployment ticked up as more workers entered the workforce.  Bonds could have taken this report either way...
The last domino before a recession? Job losses
The last domino before a recession? Job losses
The last domino before a recession? Job losses
The last domino before a recession? Job losses
housingwire housingwire | 1 year ago
The next stage is to see total consumption demand be hit so negatively that it sends job openings down and jobless claims higher. The post The last domino before a recession? Job losses appeared first on HousingWire.
The next stage is to see total consumption demand be hit so negatively that it sends job openings down and jobless claims higher. The post The last domino before a recession? Job losses appeared first on HousingWire.
Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now
Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now
Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now
Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now
housingwire housingwire | 1 year ago
Some people believed we entered a recession at the start of 2022; however, the jobs report for May came in at 390,000, dashing their hopes. The post Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now appeared first on HousingWire.
Some people believed we entered a recession at the start of 2022; however, the jobs report for May came in at 390,000, dashing their hopes. The post Solid job growth defies recession talk — for now appeared first on HousingWire.
Strong Employment Numbers Ease Some Industry Recession Fears
Strong Employment Numbers Ease Some Industry Recession Fears
Strong Employment Numbers Ease Some Industry Recession Fears
Strong Employment Numbers Ease Some Industry Recession Fears
Engineering News-Record Engineering News-Rec... | 1 year ago
May 27, 2022 Alisa Zevin KEYWORDS construction economics / labor Order Reprints No Comments Following months of volatility in the stock market, along with record high inflation and supply chain issues, some economists are bracing for a coming recession. And in construction, there are always those seeing signs of a coming downturn in the cyc...
May 27, 2022 Alisa Zevin KEYWORDS construction economics / labor Order Reprints No Comments Following months of volatility in the stock market, along with record high inflation and supply chain issues, some economists are bracing for a coming recession. And in construction, there are always those seeing signs of a coming downturn in the cyc...
Construction planning numbers jump despite recession fears
Construction planning numbers jump despite recession fears
Construction planning numbers jump despite recession fears
Construction planning numbers jump despite recession fears
constructiondive constructiondive | 1 year ago
Dive Brief: The Dodge Momentum Index, a benchmark that measures nonresidential building planning, increased 5.7% in September largely due to an influx of data center and education construction, according to Dodge Data & Analytics. The September reading landed less than 5% below an all-time high, the latest sign of the construction industry dismissing recession fears, said David Reaves, Dodge senior economist. “The gain in the momentum index and its components in September reassures us that de...
Dive Brief: The Dodge Momentum Index, a benchmark that measures nonresidential building planning, increased 5.7% in September largely due to an influx of data center and education construction, according to Dodge Data & Analytics. The September reading landed less than 5% below an all-time high, the latest sign of the construction industry dismissing recession fears, said David Reaves, Dodge senior economist. “The gain in the momentum index and its components in September reassures us that de...
Strong Retail Sales and Construction Commitments Say No to Recession
Strong Retail Sales and Construction Commitments Say No to Recession
Strong Retail Sales and Construction Commitments Say No to Recession
Strong Retail Sales and Construction Commitments Say No to Recession
constructconnect constructconnect | 2 years ago
Presently, there are a lot of negative factors in play. One might easily cite the disturbing psychological and other impacts of the fighting in Ukraine; the ongoing supply shortages that are only slowly being resolved; an affordability crisis, especially for first-time buyers, in residential real estate; general price inflation that shows little sign of letting up; and central bank moves to raise interest rates.
Presently, there are a lot of negative factors in play. One might easily cite the disturbing psychological and other impacts of the fighting in Ukraine; the ongoing supply shortages that are only slowly being resolved; an affordability crisis, especially for first-time buyers, in residential real estate; general price inflation that shows little sign of letting up; and central bank moves to raise interest rates.